Cordamente
TQQQ (leveraged QQQ ETF)

TQQQ VWAP

Minute-resolution intraday system on a leveraged Nasdaq ETF

Backtest results · hypothetical, not live

2 variations

Macro-event risk overlay

Equity Curve

Jan 2015 →︎ Jan 2026 · hypothetical backtest · normalized to $100k start
$42.2M$31.6M$21.1M$10.5M$0
Jan 15Oct 17Jul 20Apr 23Dec 25

Drawdown

depth from prior peak
38.7%29.0%19.3%9.7%0.0%
Jan 15Oct 17Jul 20Apr 23Dec 25

Performance

Annualized return
71.0%
Sharpe ratio
1.36
Max drawdown
−36.8%

Detail

Sortino
3.46
Expectancy
0.27
PSR
73%
Win rate
21%
Beta
-0.19
Alpha
+54.50%
Avg win / loss
3.72% / -0.74%

Results from a single backtest on QuantConnect. Costs and slippage modeled per the strategy's deployment specification.

About

Universe
TQQQ (leveraged QQQ ETF)
Horizon
Intraday

A one-minute intraday system on the leveraged Nasdaq ETF. The core trade is an intraday breakout managed with a tight trailing stop, with hard liquidation at the session close. The system never carries a position overnight.

Layered on top of the core, a small set of deterministic event-day rules controls when the strategy is allowed to take new positions and at what size, reducing exposure on the sessions where the trade has historically been most punished.

Two versions are shown side by side. The original version has been running in live simulation since early 2025, returning +15% since February. The interventions version adds the event-day overlay around scheduled macro releases.