Cordamente
NQ / MNQ futures

Index Breakout 3

Intraday breakout on Nasdaq futures with a confirmation filter

Backtest results · hypothetical, not live

Performance

2020–today, NQ with a partial profit target

Equity Curve

Jan 2020 →︎ Apr 2026 · hypothetical backtest · normalized to $100k start
$404k$303k$202k$101k$0
Jan 20Jul 21Feb 23Sep 24Apr 26

Drawdown

depth from prior peak
12.5%9.4%6.2%3.1%0.0%
Jan 20Jul 21Feb 23Sep 24Apr 26

Performance

Annualized return
22.7%
Sharpe ratio
1.02
Max drawdown
−15.5%

Detail

Sortino
1.27
Expectancy
0.18
PSR
72%
Win rate
52%
Beta
0.04
Alpha
+12.40%
Avg win / loss
1.04% / -0.82%

Results from a single backtest on QuantConnect. Costs and slippage modeled per the strategy's deployment specification.

About

Universe
NQ / MNQ futures
Horizon
Intraday

An intraday strategy on Nasdaq futures built from an intraday breakout signal paired with a confirmation filter. Exits use a partial profit target and a trailing stop, and every position is closed by the session close.

The strategy works since 2020 and shows a Sharpe above 1.0 with a max drawdown under 16%. It survives 2-tick slippage modeling, which filters out many intraday strategies that look good on paper. The edge is narrower and the confidence is lower than the other models shown here. This is included as a strategy with real alpha that is still accumulating track record.